Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000192 0.000215 0.000239 0.000267 0.000299 0.000332 0.000372
2024-12-29 0.000158 0.000189 0.000223 0.000266 0.000316 0.000375 0.000448
2025-01-05 0.000132 0.000166 0.000208 0.000261 0.000329 0.000411 0.000519
2025-01-12 0.000114 0.000150 0.000197 0.000260 0.000344 0.000451 0.000599
2025-01-19 0.000100 0.000139 0.000189 0.000261 0.000361 0.000495 0.000687
2025-01-26 0.000088 0.000126 0.000179 0.000258 0.000371 0.000528 0.000765
2025-02-02 0.000082 0.000123 0.000180 0.000269 0.000402 0.000594 0.000894
2025-02-09 0.000075 0.000116 0.000177 0.000273 0.000422 0.000646 0.001007
2025-02-16 0.000069 0.000110 0.000173 0.000276 0.000441 0.000695 0.001121
2025-02-23 0.000063 0.000104 0.000168 0.000276 0.000454 0.000737 0.001226
2025-03-02 0.000057 0.000096 0.000160 0.000270 0.000458 0.000765 0.001311
2025-03-09 0.000052 0.000091 0.000155 0.000269 0.000468 0.000803 0.001414
2025-03-16 0.000048 0.000086 0.000151 0.000269 0.000483 0.000852 0.001545
2025-03-23 0.000044 0.000082 0.000147 0.000270 0.000497 0.000901 0.001683
2025-03-30 0.000040 0.000076 0.000141 0.000266 0.000504 0.000939 0.001803
2025-04-06 0.000037 0.000072 0.000137 0.000266 0.000516 0.000987 0.001948
2025-04-13 0.000035 0.000069 0.000135 0.000267 0.000533 0.001045 0.002116
2025-04-20 0.000032 0.000065 0.000130 0.000264 0.000539 0.001082 0.002248
2025-04-27 0.000031 0.000065 0.000132 0.000276 0.000577 0.001186 0.002527
2025-05-04 0.000030 0.000063 0.000131 0.000280 0.000600 0.001261 0.002751
2025-05-11 0.000028 0.000061 0.000130 0.000283 0.000620 0.001332 0.002976
2025-05-18 0.000026 0.000058 0.000127 0.000282 0.000632 0.001389 0.003173
2025-05-25 0.000024 0.000055 0.000122 0.000277 0.000634 0.001422 0.003319